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8/25 Trade Plan

8/25/20262 min read

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⚡ Trade Plan

Ticker: /ES (September Contract)

Bias: Neutral → Bullish Above 7720

Market Condition: Range / Higher-Low Structure

🛡️ Trade Less. Demand Confirmation. Protect Accounts.

🧭 Context

ES continues to hold the major 7632–7648 demand and remains inside the broader channel.

The structure is simple: 7632 is the line in the sand, while 7720–7724 is the upside confirmation. Until one of those levels breaks, expect continued range behavior.

📊 Key Levels

🟥 Resistance

7720–7724 ⭐ Key Reclaim
7760–7764 — Upside Target

🟩 Support

7632–7648 ⭐ Major Demand
7570 — Next Support

⭐ Highest Probability — 7720–7724 Reclaim Long

Trigger: Reclaim 7720–7724 and hold above it.

Target: 7760 → 7764

Invalidation: Failed reclaim back below 7720.

🟢 Second Opportunity — 7632–7648 Higher-Low Long

Trigger: Pullback into 7632–7648 holds and buyers establish a higher low.

Target: 7720 → 7760

Invalidation: Acceptance below 7632.

🟡 Only If — 7632 Breakdown Short

Trigger: Clean break below 7632 followed by a failed retest.

Target: 7570

Invalidation: Reclaim above 7632.

🔴 Avoid

Trading aggressively in the middle of 7632–7724.
Shorting directly into 7632–7648 demand.
Assuming upside continuation without the 7720 reclaim.

🎯 Focus

7632–7648 holds → look for the 7720 reclaim.
7720–7724 reclaims → 7760–7764.
7632 fails → 7570.

Today's Reminder: 7632 protects the bullish structure. 7720 confirms the upside. Everything between them is patience.

Want to follow along with the setup?

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