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8/31 Trade Plan

8/31/20262 min read

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👉 RAIN Break + Retest Template The ATAS chart setup I use to read the execution.

⚡ Trade Plan

Ticker: /ES (September Contract)

Bias: Bearish Below 7724

Market Condition: Lower-High Risk / Range

🛡️ Trade Less. Demand Confirmation. Protect Accounts.

🧭 Context

ES is still below the key 7724.25 level. Until that is reclaimed, I don't see a strong reason to chase upside. This is a potential lower-high rejection area, so let price prove strength before getting bullish.

Above 7724, the 20 DMA becomes the next confirmation. Below, the path opens back toward 7650–7632.

📊 Key Levels

🟥 Resistance

7714–7724 ⭐ Lower-High / Rejection Zone
7724.25 — Key Reclaim
7755–7764 — Supply

🟩 Support

7650–7632 ⭐ Major Demand
7570 — Next Support / 50 DMA

⭐ Highest Probability — 7714–7724 Lower-High Short

Trigger: Rejection from 7714–7724 followed by a clean break/retest lower.

Target: 7650 → 7632

Invalidation: Reclaim and acceptance above 7724.

🟢 Second Opportunity — 7724 + 20 DMA Reclaim Long

Trigger: Reclaim 7724 and regain the 20 DMA, then hold the level as support.

Target: 7755 → 7764

Invalidation: Failure back below 7724.

🟡 Only If — 7632 Breakdown Short

Trigger: Clean break below 7632 followed by a failed retest.

Target: 7570 / 50 DMA

Invalidation: Reclaim above 7632.

🔴 Avoid

Longs below 7724 without a clear reclaim.
Shorting directly into 7650–7632 demand.
Forcing trades in the middle of the range.

🎯 Focus

7714–7724 rejects → 7650 → 7632.
7724 + 20 DMA reclaim → 7755 → 7764.
7632 fails → 7570.
Below 7724 = respect the lower-high risk.

Today's Reminder: Don't predict the reversal. Let ES prove strength above 7724—or respect the rejection.

Want to follow along with the setup?

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