9/1 Trade Plan

9/1/20262 min read

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⚡ Trade Plan

Ticker: /ES (September Contract)

Bias: Neutral at Demand → Bearish Below 7632

Market Condition: Major Demand Test

🛡️ Trade Less. Demand Confirmation. Protect Accounts.

🧭 Context

The 7714–7724 lower-high thesis played out, with ES selling off overnight into the major 7632–7648 demand.

This is now the key test. Do not chase shorts into demand. We want to see whether buyers can defend this zone or whether sellers finally break the larger structure.

📊 Key Levels
🟥 Resistance
  • 7714–7724 ⭐ Major Supply

  • PDL — potential lower-high trigger

🟩 Support
  • 7632–7648 ⭐ Major Demand

  • 7606 — 50 DMA

  • 7570 — Major Demand

⭐ Highest Probability — 7632–7648 Demand Hold Long

Trigger: Responsive buying from 7632–7648, followed by a reclaim/hold of the level.

Target: PDL → 7714–7724

Invalidation: Acceptance below 7632.

🟢 Second Opportunity — PDL Lower-High Short

Trigger: Bounce from demand into PDL, followed by rejection and a failed retest.

Target: 7632 → 7606

Invalidation: Reclaim and acceptance above PDL.

🟡 Only If — 7632 Breakdown Short

Trigger: Clean break below 7632 and failed retest.

Target: 7606 → 7570

Invalidation: Reclaim above 7632.

🔴 Avoid
  • Shorting directly into 7632–7648 demand.

  • Assuming demand will hold without buyer confirmation.

  • Chasing the first reaction off the low.

🎯 Focus
  • 7632–7648 holds → look for the bounce.

  • PDL rejects → 7632 → 7606.

  • 7632 fails → 7606 → 7570.

  • 7714–7724 remains major supply.

Today's Reminder: We are at the level that matters. Don't predict the bounce—wait for buyers to prove they're there.

Want to follow along with the setup?

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