9/15 Trade Plan

9/15/20262 min read

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⚡ Trade Plan

Ticker: /ES (September Contract)

Bias: Neutral → Bullish above 7713

Market Condition: Range / Decision Zone

🛡️ Trade Less. Demand Confirmation. Protect Accounts.

🧭 Context

ES found support at 7665 and is holding above the 50DMA at 7664. The next decision is 7713 20DMA. We either lose 7665 and open downside, or reclaim 7713 and push higher.

📊 Key Levels
🟥 Resistance
  • 7686–7690

  • 7700 → 7713

  • 7724–7739

🟩 Support

  • 7665–7664

⭐ Highest Probability — 7700 + 7713 Reclaim Long
  • Trigger: Reclaim 7700 and 7713, then hold above 7713.

  • Target: 7724 → 7739/7740

  • Invalidation: Lose 7700 after the reclaim.

🥈 Second Opportunity — 7637–7648 Demand Hold Long
  • Trigger: Hold/reclaim 7637–7648 with responsive buying.

  • Target: 7665 → 7700

  • Invalidation: Acceptance below 7637.

⚠️ Only If — 7637 Breakdown Short
  • Trigger: Clean break below 7637 + failed retest.

  • Target: 7600

  • Invalidation: Reclaim 7637.

🎯 Focus
  • 7637–7648 holds → 7665 → 7700

  • 7700 + 7713 reclaim → 7724 → 7739/7740

  • 7637 fails → 7600

Today's Reminder: We're still in a sideways structure. Don't manufacture trades inside the range—wait for the level to prove itself.

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