9/16 Trade Plan

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⚡ Trade Plan

Ticker: /ES (September Contract)

Bias: Neutral → Bullish above 7713

Market Condition: Range / Decision Zone

🛡️ Trade Less. Demand Confirmation. Protect Accounts.

🧭 Context

ES is pushing higher after holding the ONL 7659. Immediate resistance sits at 7687.5–7691, with 7697 above and the 20DMA at 7709. Major support is 50DMA 7666, with deeper demand at 7654–7647. FOMC at 2:00 PM can completely change the structure, so don't force the pre-event move.

📊 Key Levels

🟥 Resistance

• 7687.5–7691

• 7697 → 7700

• 7709

🟩 Support

• 7666

• 7659

• 7654–7647

⭐ Highest Probability — 7710 + 20DMA Reclaim Long

• Trigger: Reclaim and hold above 7710

• Target: 7740

• Invalidation: Lose 7710 after reclaim

🥈 Second Opportunity — 7637–7647 Demand Hold

• Trigger: Hold demand and reclaim back above 7666

• Target: 7687 → 7710

• Invalidation: Acceptance below 7637

⚠️ Only If — 7637 Breakdown Short

• Trigger: Clean break below 7637 + failed retest

• Target: 7600 → 100DMA

• Invalidation: Reclaim 7637

🎯 Focus

7710 reclaims → 7740
7637 holds → 7666 → 7687 → 7710
7637 fails → 7600 → 100DMA

🧠 Today's Reminder

Trade the levels. Don't trade the FOMC.
Wait for confirmation, take the obvious move, and protect the account.

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