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9/18 Trade Plan

9/18/20262 min read

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👉 RAIN High-Probability Reaction Levels Maps key reaction areas before price gets there.

👉 RAIN Break + Retest Template The ATAS chart setup I use to read the execution.

⚡ Trade Plan

Ticker: /ES (December Contract)

Bias: Bullish above 7700/20DMA

Market Condition: Range → Expansion

🛡️ Trade Less. Demand Confirmation. Protect Accounts.

🧭 Context

ES confirmed a higher low above 7700/20DMA overnight and pushed into 7740. Vince sees 7700 as the key long area again, while a clean hold above 7740 opens 7780. Below 7694, short-term downside pressure returns.

📊 Key Levels

🟥 Resistance

7740
7780

🟩 Support

7700 — 20DMA
7694

⭐ Highest Probability — 7700 / 20DMA Hold Long

Trigger: Pullback holds 7700/20DMA and reclaims.
Target: 7740 → 7780
Invalidation: Acceptance below 7694.

🥈 Second Opportunity — 7740 Hold Long

Trigger: Break above 7740 and hold.
Target: 7780
Invalidation: Lose 7740 after reclaim.

⚠️ Only If — 7694 Breakdown Short

Trigger: Clean break below 7694 + failed retest.
Target: Short-term downside / next support
Invalidation: Reclaim 7694.

🚫 Avoid

Chasing between 7700–7740.
Shorting directly into 7700.
Forcing trades after a failed breakout.

🎯 Focus

7700 holds → 7740 → 7780
7740 holds → 7780
7694 fails → short-term downside

🧠 Today's Reminder

7700 is the level. 7740 is the breakout. Don't overtrade the middle.

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