NEW INDICATOR ALERT — SHOP TRADING TOOLS NOW
9/17 Trade Plan
9/17/20262 min read
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👉 RAIN Break + Retest Template The ATAS chart setup I use to read the execution.
⚡ Trade Plan
Ticker: /ES (December Contract)
Bias: Neutral → Bullish above 7710
Market Condition: Range / Decision Zone
🛡️ Trade Less. Demand Confirmation. Protect Accounts.
🧭 Context
Yesterday's FOMC produced a major flush to 7575, but ES recovered aggressively and is now back above the 50DMA at 7667–7668. We're essentially back in yesterday's range, with 7702/20DMA as the key upside test. The overnight range is wide (7616–7690), so the plan is simple: hold 50DMA and push toward 20DMA, or lose 50DMA and reassess.
📊 Key Levels
🟥 Resistance
7689–7690
7702 → 7710
7740
🟩 Support
7667–7668 — 50DMA
7616 — ONL
⭐ Highest Probability — 7702 + 20DMA Reclaim Long
Trigger: Reclaim and hold above 7702.
Target: 7710 → 7740
Invalidation: Lose 7702 after reclaim.
🥈 Second Opportunity — 7667–7668 50DMA Hold Long
Trigger: Pullback holds 50DMA with responsive buying.
Target: 7689 → 7702
Invalidation: Acceptance below 7667.
⚠️ Only If — 7667 Breakdown
Trigger: Clean break below 7667 + failed retest.
Target: 7616 → 7575
Invalidation: Reclaim 7667.
🚫 Avoid
Chasing the middle of 7667–7702.
Assuming yesterday's FOMC move has to continue.
Trading the overnight extremes without confirmation.
🎯 Focus
7667 holds → 7689 → 7702 → 7710
7702 reclaims → 7740
7667 fails → 7616 → 7575
🧠 Today's Reminder
Yesterday was the volatility. Today is about structure.
Respect the 50DMA, wait for confirmation, and don't force the middle.
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