9/8 Trade Plan

9/8/20262 min read

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⚡ Trade Plan

Ticker: /ES (September Contract)

Bias: Bearish below 7739

Market Condition: Choppy / Channel

🛡️ Trade Less. Demand Confirmation. Protect Accounts.

🧭 Context

ES is back below the major 4HR low at 7724 and previous ATH at 7739. Until we reclaim 7739, upside should be treated cautiously. Repeated rejection of 7724–7739 keeps pressure on the downside toward 7654 demand.

📊 Key Levels
🟥 Resistance
  • 7724

  • 7739 20DMA / Previous ATH

  • 7770

🟩 Support
  • 7654 Demand

⭐ Highest Probability — 7724–7739 Pop & Fade Short

Trigger: Rejection and failure to reclaim 7724–7739.
Target: 7654
Invalidation: Acceptance above 7739.

🟢 Second Opportunity — 7654 Demand Hold Long

Trigger: Buyers defend 7654 and establish a higher low.
Target: 7724 → 7739
Invalidation: Acceptance below 7654.

🟡 Only If — 7739 Reclaim Long

Trigger: Reclaim and hold above 7739.
Target: 7770 → ATH
Invalidation: Failed reclaim back below 7739.

🔴 Avoid
  • Chasing shorts into 7654 demand.

  • Forcing trades inside the channel.

  • Assuming upside before 7739 is reclaimed.

🎯 Focus
  • 7724–7739 rejects → 7654

  • 7654 holds → 7724 → 7739

  • 7739 reclaims → 7770 → ATH

Today's Reminder: We are below major resistance. Let the market prove the reclaim.

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